I'm not saying that the next Suikoden won't necessarily come out on the Wii. Its possible. The Wii is extremely popular in Japan, too. You Wii-fans are all ignoring some very important issues, though:
1. US considerations mean nothing. Konami would sooner drop the US market entirely (in regards to a Suikoden release) than switch consoles based on the US. I currently can't find any US videogame sales numbers that mention Suikoden, but Suikoden repeatedly hits the top 50, since Suikoden III (III: #25, IV: #36, V: not known yet). I checked all the top 100 lists for the US, and couldn't find Suikoden anywhere.
2. WIth regards to the price. The 360 is being sold at a loss, as well, and they're being forced to lower their price to compete.
Manufacturing costs come down a lot over time, in the world of electronics. Sony's plan for the PS3 is long-term, longer than any console release yet. Do you seriously think their manufacturing costs will be the same in two years? They've already announced cuts
. You can say that manufacturing cost cuts might not necessarily mean price cuts, but they'll have to if they want it to succeed. They have too much riding on it being successful (over 5-10 years) to let it die because of stubbornness over the price. They'll take as much of a hardware hit as they need to move the software.
Half of its current price in a couple years is not going to happen, but $400-$500 is feasible. Still, even without the price cuts, and with a lackluster launch (in terms of quality of games released) its doing well in Japan, because....
3. The PS3 and Wii are aimed at completely separate markets. Nintendo was smart enough to try and open up a new market for videogames, rather than try and make Microsoft's mistake of trying to be a quasi-PS3. Wii and PS3 success are not mutually exclusive in the way that PS3 and 360 success are. And most importantly, many of Wii's new fans wouldn't have any interest in Suikoden anyway). Hylan: How many people in your study were RPG fans, by the way? Did you ask that question? How do you expect to draw conclusions for an obscure RPG based racing and football games, which are about as far away from RPGs as you can get?
The Wii is aimed at mass consumption (and will probably always sell more units than the PS3), but that doesn't make it the obvious better choice for a particular game release. By your logic, they should just release all their games for the DS, because it spanks all other consoles out there in units sold
None of these points mean that Konami won't release Suikoden VI on Wii. I'm not even saying its much less possible (either exclusive or a dual-release) than a PS3-exclusive release. Many PS3 owners are going to have a Wii too, just because its so cheap. Its just that most arguments for the Wii I hear on message boards are painfully narrow-minded and don't understand that there are a lot more important factors here than a random segment of people in the US who aren't even likely to be gamers. Yeah, I fully expect my mom or dad to have much more fun on the Wii than the PS3, but does Konami's Suikoden team take them into account? No, they don't.